| Overall | 11W 8L 3T |
| District | 6W 0L 0T |
| Expected | 14: 2+ 6- |
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
|
20 3 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1111 83 Strength Momentum |
906 52.4(28) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) | |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/22/15 | Mayfield ?? | 0.000 | 854 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-4) | 923 | 87% |  |
| 08/24/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.000 | 1050 | L 2- 3 | Worse (-1) | 1040 | 57% | |
| 08/26/15 | Capital | 0.000 | 961 | L 1- 5 | Worse (-6) | 825 | 77% | |
| 08/28/15 | at Bosque | 0.000 | 1309 | T 0- 0 | Better (+2) | 1220 | 18% | |
| 08/28/15 | at Farmington | 0.000 | 1250 | T 1- 1 | Better (+2) | 1190 | 24% | |
| 08/29/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.000 | 801 | W 8- 1 | Expected (+4) | 1322 | 87% | |
| 09/02/15 | at Hope Christian | 0.001 | 1088 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1059 | 50% | |
| 09/05/15 | at East Mountain ? | 0.002 | 890 | L 3- 4 | Worse (-3) | 960 | 81% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Taos | 0.003 | 1104 | L 2- 5 | Expected (-3) | 967 | 48% | |
| 09/16/15 | Bernalillo !! | 0.010 | 884 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1189 | 84% | |
| 09/19/15 | Portales | 0.021 | 936 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1114 | 80% | |
| 09/22/15 | at Pojoaque ! | 0.022 | 848 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1190 | 84% | |
| 09/24/15 | Desert Academy | 0.015 | 654 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1229 | 96% | |
| 09/26/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.044 | 844 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1169 | 88% | |
| 09/29/15 | at Bosque | 0.076 | 1309 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 1069 | 18% | |
| 10/01/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.100 | 904 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1117 | 79% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.139 | 844 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1037 | 85% | |
| 10/13/15 | St. Michael's | 0.370 | 904 | W 1- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1048 | 83% | |
| 10/19/15 | at Desert Academy | 0.420 | 654 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1043 | 95% | |
| 10/22/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.661 | 1201 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1115 | 31% | |
| 10/31/15 | NMMI | 0.770 | 909 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1151 | 82% | |
| 11/05/15 | * Taos | 0.990 | 1104 | T 0- 0 | Worse (0) | 1098 | 51% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Santa Fe Prep actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 906, while
Santa Fe Prep's "weighted playing strength" is 1101
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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